Recently, in a meeting of the Chinese Ministry of Public Security, Minister Wang Xiaohong called for a thorough implementation of the “Winter Action” to “ensure social stability this winter and next spring.” Analysts believe that this move is rare and may be related to personnel changes discussed at the Fourth Plenum of the Chinese Communist Party, suggesting that significant events are looming in China.
During the national video conference held by the Ministry of Public Security on the 21st, Minister Wang Xiaohong emphasized the need to raise awareness of risks and to thoroughly carry out the “Winter Action” to ensure social stability this winter and next spring.
Regarding the statement “ensure social stability this winter and next spring,” Wang Juntao, Chairman of the National Committee of the China Democratic Party, told The Epoch Times that most major incidents in China occur during the transition between spring and summer. Wang Xiaohong may be anticipating what will happen next year, identifying which groups may play certain roles, and taking action to clean them up before spring arrives.
Political commentator Zhang Tianliang believes that Wang Xiaohong’s remarks are not something he would casually say, suggesting that it may have come from the top leadership of the CCP, possibly indicating unintended disclosures by Xi Jinping. Wang Xiaohong’s cautious language may even be predicting the end of the CCP next year.
Political analyst Chen Pokong told The Epoch Times that when Wang Xiaohong talks about “ensuring social stability this winter and next spring,” there is more to it than meets the eye. While on the surface it may be in response to the recent incidents of “violent loyalty,” cracking down on such extreme behavior cannot effectively address it, and maintaining social order does not have a time limit, making the timeframe of “this winter and next spring” seem quite unusual.
He said, “Why choose this winter and next spring as the timeframe? Conservatively speaking, Wang Xiaohong’s words should be related to the Fourth Plenum. During the Fourth Plenum, the top echelons of the CCP may undergo restructuring, including issues concerning the retention or departure of Xi Jinping and Cai Qi, or some reshuffling within the leadership. Additionally, there are the Two Sessions in March next year, where changes are expected not only in the party system but also in the governmental system. Top-level reshuffling requires separate decisions from the party and government, leading to significant changes in personnel, hence Wang Xiaohong’s emphasis on ensuring stability for winter and spring. Wang Huning has been unusually active recently, indicating ambitions for a higher position; Wang Xiaohong’s increased activity may also indicate a potential promotion in the future.”
The social atmosphere in China is becoming increasingly tense, with frequent cases of indiscriminate killings occurring. Just in November, multiple incidents have taken place.
On the 11th, a car drove into a crowd indiscriminately at the Zhuhai Sports Center, marking one of the most serious attacks in recent years in China.
On the 16th, a knife attack occurred in Wuxi Craftsmanship Vocational and Technical College in Jiangsu, resulting in 8 deaths and 17 injuries. The perpetrator, a student at the college, carried out the attack due to dissatisfaction with not receiving their graduation certificate and unpaid internship fees.
On the 19th, in front of the Yong’an Primary School in Dingcheng District, Changde, Hunan, another incident involved a car running into people, causing multiple students and parents to be injured.
On November 25, a “violent loyalty” incident occurred in Neijiang, Sichuan, resulting in at least 1 death and 4 injuries. The CCP police reported that the driver, Chen, lost control of the vehicle due to a sudden illness.
Up to November 20 this year, China has seen over 20 cases of malicious attacks, including indiscriminate violence, resulting in at least 100 deaths and over 170 injuries.
Furthermore, large-scale gatherings in various parts of China are increasing, causing concerns within the CCP. From a hundred thousand university students riding motorcycles to Kaifeng to eat buns, to slogans against the CCP appearing in various places.
Recently, a hand-written “Letter to the People of the Nation” circulated by mainland Chinese people in labor markets in central and western China, calling for the overthrow of the Communist Party.
This incident is still ongoing, with students from a vocational school in Guangzhou organizing the distribution of hand-written flyers, followed by high school students in Chongqing also distributing hand-written flyers, urging “vocational students, high school students, college students to unite around the working class to resist!”
According to a message from X platform user “Yesterday” on the 22nd, a group of high school students in Chongqing, self-identified as the “1116 Action Team,” submitted an article stating that high school students in Chongqing are also organizing the distribution of flyers. The flyers stated, “This is a widespread mass movement against the totalitarian rule and oppression of China (CCP). Only by rising up in resistance, responding to the appeals of the people in a revolutionary way, can we best comfort the deceased (referring to the 8 students killed in the Wuxi Craftsmanship Vocational and Technical College incident).”
Some flyers expressed that, “In reality, the capitalist Communist Party government is the only culpable party, the system itself is the creator of tragedies.” The flyers hoped to revive the enthusiasm of the “Blank Movement” resistance, “rebuild the strength of unity starting with ourselves,” and wished to see “more people standing up.” The flyers concluded with a call to action: “Overthrow the authoritarian government! Down with the gangster government! Long live liberation! Long live social revolution!”
Human rights organization “Freedom House” released a report on November 21 showing that in the third quarter of this year, China experienced at least 937 protest incidents, a 27% increase compared to the same period last year. 41% of protesters were workers, followed by business owners at 28%, and then residents, students, parents, and consumers. One-third of protest events faced official repression through surveillance, arrests, or violent means.
China’s richest man, Zhong Shanshan, fiercely criticized e-commerce platforms for launching price wars amidst China’s economic downturn during an exchange meeting on November 20, and unusually accused the CCP government of “negligence.” International opinions suggest that it is extremely rare for Chinese businessmen to publicly criticize the CCP government, as doing so usually leads to adverse consequences.
Wang Juntao commented, “It seems that the CCP currently still has control over the situation in China, but there will definitely be a major upheaval in China’s future. This change may come from an insignificant event. Wang Xiaohong’s deployment of the Winter Action indicates that there will be trouble in China for sure. Wang Xiaohong may not see many upcoming events, but they will definitely happen, and may even lead to a major crisis.”